The Austin-Round Rock area tied for first on a list of large metros where the recession is easing.
Central Texas tied Washington D.C. in the Forbes.com ranking that compiles job growth and real estate industry improvement, among other indicators. Washington has one of the lowest unemployment rates in the nation, 6.2 percent, and the city produced more goods and services than another other in 2008.
Austin has also maintained relatively lower jobless rates, though the number increased to 7.6 percent last month from 7 percent, according to the Texas Workforce Commission. Statewide, the rate was unchanged at 8.2 percent from December to January, compared to 9.7 percent nationally.
Austin and Washington D.C. also benefit from their high government job generation, according to Forbes. The number of Central Texas jobs increased just shy of 1 percent between 2007 and 2009, more than any other city included in the research.
Dallas came in second on the ranking behind Austin. The number of jobs there are expected to increase more than 7 percent in the next three years. San Antonio and Houston also made the top 10 list.
Job growth projections were based on information from Moody’s. The listing also considered median home sale price changes and Metropolitan Gross Domestic Product.
March 19th, 2010
Real Estate Outlook: Positive Signs of Recovery
by Kenneth R. Harney
Positive signs on employment and national economic growth should start being felt in the housing market in the coming several months, say top economists.
The Labor Department reports that there were 2.7 million job openings last month — 200,000 more than in the same survey the month before.
Meanwhile, the consensus forecast among private and government economists for the main barometer of the U.S. economy’s health, gross domestic product or GDP, is for a very solid 3 percent during the first quarter.
Alan Levenson, chief economist for T.Rowe Price Associates, said the latest reports are “indicative of a labor market and economy that is in the midst of recovery.”
That’s hugely important for real estate because expanding employment created by a rowing national economy are the essential fuels to power housing demand and sales.
Even though harsh weather conditions knocked the wind out of pending home sales and real estate shopping in many areas during January and February, analysts say the spring and summer market should be strong.
Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, says the $8,000 and $6,500 federal home purchase tax credits that expire at the end of April for signed contracts — and the end of June for closed deals — should squeeze a lot of sales volume into the spring and early summer months.
Assuming slow but steady improvement in the jobs picture, Yun forecasts a solid second half of the year as well.
On the home pricing front, evidence continues to mount that in most parts of the country, home values have either bottomed out or have turned positive.
The most recent Case- Shiller index numbers on the top 20 metropolitan markets bear that out — and last week’s Zillow home value report found values essentially flat on a national average basis. They were down by just three tenths of a percent, but up in some major markets of note.
For example, Boston’s home values are up nearly two percent year-over-year, according to Zillow, and Los Angeles, San Diego, Denver and Philadelphia have registered gains after long periods of negative numbers.
Two other statistical hints that conditions are improving: The difference between listed prices and selling prices of home nationwide is now smaller than it’s been in a year, according to real estate research site Trulia.com.
And Realty Trac fond that foreclosures, which are clearly still a massive drag on the market — dropped by two percent last month — the second straight month of decline.
In a tough market, I guess we should appreciate even the smallest of improvements.
Published: March 15, 2010
March 19th, 2010
